IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. fort-erie
  3. race-3

17:11 · Fort Erie

Race 3 - Allowance

7fGoing TBC3YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 66
3/1
Sunset Skippy silks

Richard Walpole

Sunset Skippy

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Society's Chairman - Hijiki (Globalize)

Jeffrey Alderson60%1/1Tom Steer
674123
7.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

8/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par8/1123/11 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par31/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%8/11Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%31/05Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%20/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%30/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.7%Ahead 2/4
5
2
OR 62
9/2
Sassagoula River silks

Lincoln Radhay

Sassagoula River

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Game Winner - That's So Frosty (Frosted)

Luis Contreras60%Michael Cohen
362341
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

16/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/0531/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par20/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par10/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par28/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par24/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%16/05Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%20/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 50%28/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.0%Ahead 1/4
1
3
OR 62
4/1
Dancin Mary Marie silks

Nadezda Dohnalova

Dancin Mary Marie

4yo Filly · 8-7

Souper Speedy - Dance In The Snow (Seeking The Gold)

Desean Bynoe1/4Desmond Maynard
642241
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

22/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/0521/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%22/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%7/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%10/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 3/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 80
2/1
Go Go Alexander silks

Mary Biamonte

Go Go Alexander

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Souper Speedy - Ascot Hailey (English Channel)

Juan Crawford60%Sharon Ceccato
534142
7.0

Class Advantage

14/12 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par14/1214/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par6/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par24/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par14/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%14/12Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%6/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%14/08Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 80%30/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 47
10/1
Bank On Big Winner silks

Six Brothers Stable

Bank On Big Winner

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Big Screen - Reload The Bank (Reload)

Kirk Johnson60%0/1Ken Albu
219399
3.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

29/06 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a29/0627/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par24/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par19/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%29/06Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 11%24/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%19/10Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%7/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.0%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 70
5/1
Diomedes silks

Henley Thoroughbreds Ltd

Diomedes

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Munnings - Travieza (Into Mischief)

Da Sean Gaskin60%0/2Kevin Buttigieg
263664
3.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

30/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/1119/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par25/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%30/11Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%25/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -39.9%Ahead 1/4