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12:59 · Leicester

HSBC UK Agriculture Nursery

1m 53yGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market Fav2
OR 60
9/4
Q T Boy silks

Mr W Clifford

Q T Boy

2yo Gelding · 9-1

Due Diligence - Elegant Love (Delegator)

William Carson60%0/4P D Evans60%
07421
7.0

Improved since handicapping, building on soft-ground Chepstow second when going one place better at Bath (1m, good) 8 days ago. Should be very competitive under a 6 lb penalty.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0727/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 53y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%13/07Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%27/07Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 40%12/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%29/08Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%13/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 72
5/2
Pequenita silks

Newsells Park Stud - Bloodstock 24

Pequenita

2yo Filly · 9-7

Dubawi - Sibila Spain (Frankel)

P J McDonaldA M Balding60%
4322
6.0

Fair form, running best race when neck second of 8 in 1m Kempton nursery 16 days ago. A 1 lb nudge shouldn't prevent another prominent showing.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/069/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0717/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/085/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 53y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%10/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%9/07Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 75%17/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 1/4
4
5
OR 67
5/1
Golden Caturra silks

Ben Tallis Andrew Bell & John Gallaghe

Golden Caturra

2yo Filly · 9-2

Caturra - Shada (Galileo)

Billy Loughnane80%J Gallagher
544
5.0

Caturra filly who has found a bit of improvement with each start, with the fact she finished best when third in 7f Epsom maiden last month suggesting she should benefit from this step up to 1m on nursery debut. Billy Loughnane takes the reins.

Class Advantage

21/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/079/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/0831/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 53y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/07Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%9/08Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 57%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.9%Ahead 2/3
5
Value3
OR 66
5/1
Parading silks

Mr M H Dixon

Parading

2yo Colt · 9-1

Ardad - Punting (Power)

Finley Marsh70%0/4R Hughes60%
052323
6.0Going 9.0

Ran best race when second of 10 on nursery debut at Ffos Las (7.4f, good) in July. Not seen to best effect when third over 1m on all-weather at Lingfield since and remains one capable of winning off this sort of mark.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0411/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 53y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%25/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%26/05Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%28/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%17/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 1/4
3
6
OR 69
6/1
Another Encore silks

Dean De Zoete Inglett Morris Palmer Re

Another Encore

2yo Colt · 9-4

Acclamation - Stage Call (Camelot)

Lewis Edmunds60%Harry Charlton
056
4.0

Has shown a fair level of ability in 3 qualifying runs over 6f/7f and the stamina on the dam's side of her pedigree suggests this step up to 1m could suit now handicapping.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0611/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0715/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength97%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 53y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 10%14/06Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 43%11/07Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 58%15/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.3%Ahead 3/3
1
4
OR 74
16/1
Agitator silks

Pollyanna Gredley

Agitator

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Cracksman - Incharge (Kingman)

N Callan60%1/2Oliver Cole60%
0100
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Cracksman colt who left debut well behind to open his account in 12-runner maiden at Windsor (6f) in May, responding well. Well held in Windsor Castle and Royal Ascot and a Glorious Goodwood nursery since but this represents a significant drop in class. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0523/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/0517/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0630/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 53y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%15/05Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 24 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 4%17/06Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 24%30/07
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.5%Ahead 3/4