17:57 · Fairyhouse

Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap

6fGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap18 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
4
OR 66
11/2
Nouvel Espoir silks

Ms Yvonne Hennessy & Ms S O'Neill

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Harry Angel - Hope Lake (Shamardal)

Colin Keane0/1J Barcoe
414432
7.0

Took advantage of easing mark when winning at Down Royal in June. Has made the frame all 4 starts since, beaten only a neck when second of 22 in handicap at Cork (6f, soft) 12 days ago. A must for the shortlist under Colin Keane.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/0619/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par4/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par9/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%14/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 73%4/07Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%9/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 95%9/09
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +58.7%Ahead 4/4
1
Market Fav6
OR 75
4/1
Clonmacash silks

Mark Devlin/J Mackle/Skylark Racing Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 10-5

Charming Thought - Orientate (Equiano)

Sam Coen60%6/22A McGuinness60%
543751
7.0
Visor

Successful twice at Dundalk earlier this year and capitalised on a drop in grade to win a 27-runner handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) 30 days ago. A 3 lb rise shouldn't prevent another bold bid.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/0627/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par20/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par3/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par22/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%11/07Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%3/08Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.5%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 67
5/1
Irish Rumour silks

Jerry Fennell & Pat Phibbs

6yo Mare · 9-11

Footstepsinthesand - Selfless (Harbour Watch)

Orla Tynan60%1/2−7lbMiss Jennifer Anne Lynch
205031
7.0
Tongue strap

Won 18-runner handicap (11/2) at Navan (5f, good) 16 days ago. Raised 8 lb and wouldn't be an obvious one to follow up.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par3/0618/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 95%3/06Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%11/07Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%22/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.9%Ahead 3/4
14
Value2
OR 56
25/1
Are You In Or Out silks

Mrs Karena Maxwell

5yo Mare · 9-0

Inns Of Court - Fairy Cloak (Royal Applause)

Robert Whearty0/3Conor Maxwell
017080
4.0

Enhanced her good record fresh when making a winning stable over C&D in May but has lost her form since.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/10 · mark par16/1028/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 48%16/10Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 45%11/06Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 41%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%11/07Pos 21 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%22/08
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 3/4
4
9
OR 68
6/1
Bundle Of Interest silks

COR Racing Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-12

Bungle Inthejungle - Security Interest (Belong To Me)

Billy Lee60%0/6W McCreery80%
707793
4.0
1st Blinkers +3

Dropped to a handy mark and took a step back in the right direction when third of 15 at Gowran (1m, good to soft) 20 days ago. Back down in trip. First-time blinkers replace visor. Merits consideration under Billy Lee.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par7/119/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par16/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par1/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%7/11Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 45%7/08Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%27/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%1/09
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4
7
Top Pick1
OR 64
33/1
Dandyville silks

Dr J Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Dandy Man - Lady Mandeville (Strategic Prince)

Rory Cleary0/1C O'Connell90%
000008
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Useful handicapper at best but form went the wrong way for Stuart Crawford last year and, after 13 months off, hasn't gone with any encouragement in 3 outings this season. A first-time tongue tie needs to make a big difference.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/0619/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par4/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par5/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 18 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 6%13/06Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%4/08Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 16 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%2/09Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.8%Ahead 1/4
13
10
OR 61
12/1
Coincidental Glory silks

Cyril McMullan & J Fairhurst

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Cotai Glory - Coincidently (Acclamation)

Ronan WhelanA McGuinness
632940
4.0

Dundalk nursery winner in December and has been largely consistent without winning this year. Met trouble when down the field at the Curragh 23 days ago but it's worth noting his best efforts have come on polytrack.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par12/0619/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par27/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 55%12/06Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 93%11/07Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%22/08Pos 13 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 13 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 3/4
10
13
OR 62
10/1
Four Blondes silks

John Bowden

5yo Mare · 9-6

Gleneagles - Symposium (Exceed And Excel)

Siobhan Rutledge0/3R O'Sullivan
984056
4.0

Has a poor strike rate but sole win did come here. Bit below form when 3¾ lengths sixth of 27 to reopposing Clonmacash in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) 30 days ago.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/0913/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/10 · mark par4/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par3/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par22/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 27%22/09Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 84%4/05Pos 20 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 20 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%22/07Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 81%22/08
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.1%Ahead 3/4
16
7
OR 52
20/1
Top Biller silks

Premier Racing Club

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Due Diligence - Balancing Act (No Nay Never)

Jared Huggan0/1−10lbD Hogan80%
602020
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +21st Tongue Strap +2

First run since leaving Julia & Shelley Birkett when tenth of 19 in handicap (80/1) at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) 23 days ago, merely closing up late. Needs to leave that behind.

Class Advantage

10/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par10/0324/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/04 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%10/03Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%28/04Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 12 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%18/06Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.8%Ahead 3/4
17
16
OR 48
12/1
Caffu Zafeen silks

Declan Sheridan

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Exceed And Excel - Shy Angel (Zamindar)

Shay Wallace−7lbP W Flynn
000905
2.0

Remains a maiden after 16 runs. 22/1, respectable 3½ lengths fifth of 18 to Irish Rumour in handicap at Navan (5f, good) 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

7/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/0618/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 18 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%7/06Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%3/08Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 28%29/08Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 76%5/09
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.3%Ahead 3/4
18
3
OR 40
33/1
Amanirenas silks

NC Past Pupils Syndicate

7yo Mare · 8-7

War Command - Via Aurelia (Antonius Pius)

E E Ryan−10lbM C Grassick70%
801900
4.0
Cheek pieces

C&D winner but struggled on both outings this year and has to race from 9 lb out of handicap here.

Class Advantage

26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par26/077/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 17th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%26/07Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%23/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 17-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 74
10/1
Bad Boy Rizz silks

Eleanora Kennedy

3yo Colt · 10-2

Bungle Inthejungle - Clifton Dancer (Fraam)

Donagh O'Connor60%0/1R O'Sullivan80%
123548
4.0
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Only eighth of 16 at Navan (5f, good) last time but he'd been performing well in handicaps prior to that and is more than capable of bouncing back in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

22/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/10 · mark par22/1027/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par19/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%22/10Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%19/05Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%22/07Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 53%2/09
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.5%Ahead 0/4
12
17
OR 61
8/1
Go Out silks

Mrs John Murphy & John Pearson & Karl Kirwan

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Hello Youmzain - Gracefully (Orpen)

Jamie PowellDaniel Murphy
690346
4.0

Creditable sixth of 18 in handicap (8/1) at Cork (1m, soft) 12 days ago, not ideally placed. Back down in trip. Looks competitive on form.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/0518/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par15/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 64%4/05Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%18/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%27/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%9/09
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.3%Ahead 2/4
9
11
OR 64
33/1
Perfect Base silks

Condron Concrete Ltd

4yo Filly · 9-8

Acclamation - Positive Step (Footstepsinthesand)

Wayne Lordan60%0/3N Lupini60%
203D09
4.0
Blinkers

Failed to build on reappearance when ninth of 14 back in maiden company at Gowran (7f, good to soft) 20 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/074/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par18/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 94%9/07Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 78%19/08Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%18/06Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%1/09
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/4
8
15
OR 66
25/1
Hello Stacia silks

Glentohill Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-8

Invincible Army - Caledonian Belle (Mastercraftsman)

Wesley Joyce60%James Dowling
379
3.0

Fair form in a pair of maidens/claimer around 1m in recent months but her opening handicap mark looks tough.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0725/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0712/08 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a12/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%11/07Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%25/07Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%12/08
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.2%Ahead 3/3
3
14
OR 71
20/1
Sovereign Cry silks

John B O'Hagan & Mrs John Murphy

3yo Gelding · 9-13

Ten Sovereigns - Araajmh (Street Cry)

Terry Casey60%1/6−7lbDaniel Murphy
184998
2.0

Bounced back to form when gaining a first handicap success at Naas (5f) in July but mostly below par since, not helping his cause with slow starts.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0718/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par27/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par9/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 59%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 77%9/08Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 47%2/09Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%9/09
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.5%Ahead 3/4
15
18
OR 55
25/1
One Cool Bear silks

John Francis Ryan

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Kodi Bear - Mienvee Flyer (Pivotal)

Gavin RyanA McGuinness60%
447008
2.0
Visor

Took a step back in the right direction when 3¾ lengths eighth of 18 to Irish Rumour in handicap (66/1) at Navan (5f, good) 16 days ago. Well treated if he can build on that. One of 3 for Ado McGuinness.

Class Advantage

1/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par1/0427/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par5/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 75%1/04Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%11/05Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 7%12/06Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 59%5/09
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 2/4
11
12
OR 64
25/1
Jackie Jump Up silks

Connacht Cavalry Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-6

Lope Y Fernandez - Perfect Number (Cape Cross)

Ben Coen70%0/3J P Murtagh60%
503470
3.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Maiden who failed to make a significant impact in 3 outings in May/June. A 106-day break needs to have had a reviving effect.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/0912/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par7/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/06projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%18/09Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 85%22/10Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%28/05Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%7/06
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.1%Ahead 2/4