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19:20 · Thistledown

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 58
8/5
Killa Creed silks

Peter Sheppell

Killa Creed

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Jimmy Creed - Moon Date (Malibu Moon)

Chelsey Keiser60%0/4David Wolochuk
0342
6.0

Class Advantage

20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a20/0627/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/0713/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/083/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 11 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 9%20/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%27/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%13/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%3/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 2/4
4
Value2
OR 48
8/1
Crimson Crush silks

Smokin C Llc And Calderon Racing Stable

Crimson Crush

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Alternation - Ting Tang (City Weekend)

Mauro Cedillo60%0/2Ivan Calderon
53
5.0

Class Advantage

13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a13/083/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%13/08Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.8%Ahead 2/2
1
4
OR 56
2/1
Derby Day Ice silks

Bryan Metz

Derby Day Ice

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Keen Ice - Derby Day Storm (Habayeb)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%Robert Cline
2
7.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish3rd of 660% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength89%
5
3
OR 52
4/1
Happycastle silks

Eddie Platt

Happycastle

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Runhappy - Reachforthecastle (Castle Gandolfo)

Angel Diaz60%0/4Rodney Faulkner
362557
3.0

Class Advantage

19/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par19/036/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par3/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par20/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%19/03Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%29/04Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%3/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%20/06
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.8%Ahead 1/4
3
5
OR 55
5/1
Doin Mischief silks

Antonio Flores

Doin Mischief

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Maximus Mischief - Doinwhatshelikes (Include)

Erik Barbaran60%0/1Israel Flores
384335
4.0

Class Advantage

5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par5/0826/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par1/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/02 · mark par16/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/02 · mark par6/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%5/08Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%1/02Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%6/04Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%29/04
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.2%Ahead 3/4
6
6
OR 30
15/1
Skiptheguilttrip silks

Geovani Peralta

Skiptheguilttrip

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Guilt Trip - My Hope America (Tale Of The Cat)

Rocco Bowen60%Johanna Urieta
460564
3.0

Class Advantage

10/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/1027/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/10 · mark par18/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par16/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/12 · mark par24/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par7/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%10/10Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%18/11Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%24/02Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 1/4