19:12 · Wolverhampton

Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram Handicap

6f 20yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 56
4/1
Trust Sergei silks

Mr Simon Boucher

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Sergei Prokofiev - Willbeme (Kyllachy)

Jonny Peate60%2/8G Hanmer60%
139421
8.0

Overcame a wide draw when narrowly recording a second C&D success of the season here last week. Step back up in grade/penalty probably enough to prevent a follow up.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/0610/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%30/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%8/09Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.2%Ahead 4/4
1
Value2
OR 65
7/1
Midnight Call silks

Mr D J Oseman

5yo Mare · 9-10

Caravaggio - Sneaky Snooze (Exceed And Excel)

Gina Mangan60%A W Carroll
514102
6.0Going 8.0

Free-going sort who registered sixth course victory of the year when successful over C&D in May. Straight back on track returned to the all-weather last time, finishing 2 lengths second in 5f handicap here. Needs considering in a slightly easier event, though the draw hasn't been kind.

Class Advantage

23/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/03 · mark par23/039/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par21/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%23/03Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%21/04Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.1%Ahead 2/4
12
7
OR 62
7/1
Nzuri silks

Five Acre Racing

3yo Filly · 9-5

Ubettabelieveit - Lilbourne Lass (Pastoral Pursuits)

Rose Dawes60%1/5−5lbF Brennan
074451
6.0

Solid start for new yard with in-frame finishes in sprint handicaps. Seemingly didn't benefit for cheekpieces at Bath (carried head awkwardly) prior to overcoming long odds to get off the mark at Windsor last time. Hit with a 7-lb rise for that improved effort and in a better race here.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/0516/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%18/05Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 73%9/07Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%31/07Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%17/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.4%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 62
12/1
Bomb Squad silks

Derbyshire Racing Iii

8yo Gelding · 9-7

Lethal Force - Dutch Destiny (Dutch Art)

Finlay Bassett−7lbJ Mackie60%
162136
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

A 4-time course winner. Shaped better than the bare result when beaten 4¾ lengths here in late-June. Strongly run 6f could suit (all wins over 7f this year). Drawn wider than ideal on return from 12 weeks away.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0317/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par7/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par23/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%13/03Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%7/04Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%21/05Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 38%28/06
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 63
11/2
Far Too Fizzy silks

David Lowe

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Far Above - Fizzy Feet (Footstepsinthesand)

Daniel Muscutt70%D Loughnane
540235
5.0Class ↓4

Nearly recorded a third career success in a better race at Lingfield before chasing home a subsequent winner there earlier this month. Now drops back down in grade having been beaten 2¾ lengths under a typically aggressive ride last time. Leading claims, for all there looks plenty of pace on here.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/0317/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%27/03Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 10%25/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%1/09Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%3/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.2%Ahead 1/4
4
8
OR 64
8/1
March Of Time silks

Prospect Bloodstock Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-7

Invincible Spirit - Time Over (Mark Of Esteem)

George Bass60%0/1J Channon
3452
5.0

Lightly-raced 3-y-o. Matched the form she showed on debut for Clive Cox when 2¼-length second in Kempton novice on stable debut 7 days ago. Still early days but needs more switched to a handicap.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0611/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0721/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0714/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%1/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%21/07Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 86%14/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.6%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 63
20/1
Daytona Lady silks

Ruth Carr Racing Club

6yo Mare · 9-8

Bungle Inthejungle - Roseau City (Cityscape)

J P Sullivan60%4/31Mrs R Carr60%
677285
4.0
Cheek pieces

Hold-up performer who has blown hot and cold since ending a long losing run over C&D in April. Likely strong pace will suit here, and she's capable of running a big race if getting the breaks from an inside draw.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/066/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%8/06Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%6/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%27/08Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.4%Ahead 4/4
7
4
OR 64
14/1
Go Lockers Go silks

Middleham Park Racing D Turner B Rober

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Ardad - Sayyedati Lady (Frankel)

Joe Bradnam−7lbM L W Bell60%
225837
4.0Going 8.0
Hood

Enjoyed a fine run of form in 3-y-o handicaps in the first half of this year. Back on his latest winning mark after blowing the start at Lingfield last time. Return of usual hood could help, though does have more on his plate from stall 12 on first start in open company.

Class Advantage

9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par9/0516/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%9/05Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%1/07Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 60%8/08Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.4%Ahead 0/4
5
9
OR 62
5/1
Just Jump silks

Hrycko Carpentry Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Kodi Bear - Academicienne (Royal Academy)

Marco Ghiani70%1/1A W Carroll
8R153R
5.0

Scored under the returning Marco Ghiani (1-1) at Windsor in June. Shaped well in defeat at Lingfield before refusing to race for the second time this season at Windsor latest. Connections presumably feel he's still well treated (often strong in betting) but remains a risky betting proposition.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0325/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par8/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%13/03Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%8/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 43%2/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%4/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.7%Ahead 2/4
3
10
OR 62
25/1
The Caribbean silks

Mr T Faulkner

5yo Gelding · 9-7

No Nay Never - Shermeen (Desert Style)

R Havlin60%T Faulkner60%
913078
3.0Class ↓5
Cheek pieces

Didn't fire in either start for Heather Main this summer. On a potentially handy mark if revitalised by a change of headgear/stables, now 1 lb lower than when successful in a similar event here (7f) in December.

Class Advantage

6/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/12 · mark par6/1213/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/12 · mark par12/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par20/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 27%6/12Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%12/01Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 12 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%23/06Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%25/07
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.3%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 62
12/1
Cosmic Clarets silks

Scott Dixon Racing Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Starman - Imtiyaaz (Starspangledbanner)

Christian Howarth60%S Dixon60%
002266
4.0Class ↓4
Visor

Back on song after a gelding operation when runner-up at Newcastle/Hamilton in the spring. Subsequently underlined his inconsistency for Richard & Peter Fahey yard. Now returns for new stable following 11 weeks away and this could be the time to catch him.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/0924/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par13/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par3/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%6/09Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 92%13/04Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 62%14/06Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 38%3/07
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.9%Ahead 1/4
13
12
OR 61
20/1
Portacloy silks

Daniel MacAuliffe & Anoj Don

3yo Filly · 9-4

Ten Sovereigns - Nisma (Montjeu)

Jack Callan60%D & C Kubler
108655
3.0

Gone wrong way since winning 6f all-weather maiden at Lingfield last September (seemingly hasn't been the easiest to train). Fared no better for first-time tongue strap at Ffos Las (5f) and hard to be confident she can capitalise on a falling mark.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/0923/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par28/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/10 · mark par30/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%3/09Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%28/10Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%22/07Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%12/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 0/4