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19:49 · Finger Lakes

Race 7 - Ontario County Stakes

6f3YO onlyDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 86
5/2
Lord King silks

Colon, Peter, Serrano, Emilio And Oh Happy Days Stable

Lord King

3yo Gelding · 8-10

King For A Day - Higher Incentive (Freud)

Reylu Gutierrez60%3/7Luis Gutierrez60%
112122
7.0Going 7.0

Class Advantage

11/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0527/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par16/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%11/05Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%16/06Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%3/08Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%2/09
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.2%Ahead 0/4
7
Market Fav5
OR 81
2/1
Stickupwithoutagun silks

Goldfarb, Sanford J , Kantarmaci, Ilkay And Koshanostra Stables

Stickupwithoutagun

3yo Colt · 8-8

Mckinzie - Gun Club (Trappe Shot)

Christopher Elliott1/4Ilkay Kantarmaci60%
319414
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

16/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/0410/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par14/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par29/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%16/04Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.1%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 90
4/1
Three Thirteen silks

Under Our Tree Stable And Giddings, Melanie

Three Thirteen

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Unified - Cloudkissed (Nyquist)

Shaun Bridgmohan60%1/7Melanie Giddings80%
130665
2.0Going 8.0
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/0923/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%21/09Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 10%7/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%25/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 3/4
8
2
OR 71
15/1
Savage State silks

Gold Bear Farm And Falk, Jacqueline

Savage State

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Silver State - Jungle Tale (Lion Heart)

Chris Russell2/8Jacqueline Falk60%
515564
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0411/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%27/04Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%27/07Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%1/09
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.8%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 83
6/1
Kings Dancer silks

Dixon, Linda K And Alejandro, Hector M

Kings Dancer

3yo Gelding · 8-6

War Dancer - Contender's Queen (Strong Contender)

Nazario Alvarado60%0/3Linda Dixon
170023
5.0

Class Advantage

1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/0623/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%1/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%25/08Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%14/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.2%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 71
15/1
Muscle Shoals silks

Eduardo Jones

Muscle Shoals

3yo Gelding · 8-12

Redesdale - Chevy To The Levy (Maclean's Music)

Michael Jr Davila60%Luis Gutierrez60%
113656
4.0

Class Advantage

3/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a3/1110/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/11 · mark par8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%3/11Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%10/11Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 0%8/07Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%5/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%9/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -36.8%Ahead 1/4
5
7
OR 96
5/1
Valentine Crusader silks

Tristar Farm Llc

Valentine Crusader

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Honest Mischief - Absenceispresence (Warrior's Reward)

Keiber Coa60%Amelia Green
22
7.0

Class Advantage

6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a6/0715/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%6/07Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 80%15/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 0/2
2
8
OR 47
25/1
Jimmy's Page silks

Royal Breeze Thoroughbreds And Coletti, Jr , Edward J

Jimmy's Page

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Jimmy Creed - Malibu Beach (Tapit)

Kevin Navarro60%Jr Edward Coletti,
475404
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲4
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%29/07
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 0/1