2
Chica Suerte
3yo Filly · 9-3
Angers · Prix Du Chateau d'Angers Claiming Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
41%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 09/06/2026 | 15th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |