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5

Fain Would

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Angers · Prix Du Chateau d'Angers Claiming Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 12310/06C5C5 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12824/07C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12831/08C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Saint-Cloud?9th9th0
2026-07-24Vichy?9th9th0
2026-06-10Argentan?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0624/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -7.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20267th22/10%54%+0.54
24/07/20269th10/147%33%-0.14
31/08/20269th28/10%38%+0.38