8
Opensola Fal
3yo Filly · 8-8
Angers · Prix Du Chateau d'Angers Claiming Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |