4
Speloncato
3yo Gelding · 8-11
Angers · Prix Du Chateau d'Angers Claiming Stakes · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Evreux | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength12%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 19/12/2025 | 15th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 03/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 24/01/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 07/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/05/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |