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Bevan

7yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 90

Angers · Prix Salon Du Cheval (Prix d'Ecouflant) Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼4
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: +3.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Strasbourg 27/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m2f96y Hvy 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 90 par27/09C1OR 90C1 @ Marseille-borely 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 90 parC1 @ Strasbourg 11/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m1f207y Hvy 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/11/2025 · OR 90 par11/11C1OR 90C1 @ Toulouse 30/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 90 · 1m3f204y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/11/2025 · OR 90 parC1 @ La Teste De Buch 21/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 90 · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 90 par21/03C1OR 901 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 90 · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 90 par1 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m1f97y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 90 par23/051OR 901 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m1f207y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 90 parC1 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 90 · 1m3f204y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 90 par5/09C1OR 90projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Craon?2nd-2th+4
2026-06-20Compiegne15th1st+4
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat14th0th+4
2026-04-19Toulouse18th4th+4
2026-03-21La Teste De Buch?3rd-1th+4
2025-11-30Toulouse?4th0th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0930/1123/055/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
18/10/20254th7/163%50%-0.13
11/11/20254th15/261%57%-0.03
30/11/20254th17/255%75%+0.20
21/03/20263rd17/255%75%+0.20
19/04/20268th11/142%13%-0.30
23/05/20264th20/10%57%+0.57
20/06/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
05/09/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13