IvyArcIvyArc
4

Drumard

5yo Colt · 8-13

Angers · Prix Salon Du Cheval (Prix d'Ecouflant) Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 13224/10C?C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 15/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 125C5 @ Deauville 12/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12312/12C52 @ Chantilly 03/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS29/0322 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Chantilly 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 131 · HIGHER CLASS31/0512 @ Saint-Cloud 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS23/081projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Deauville16th2nd+4
2026-07-05Saint-Cloud25th2nd+3
2026-05-31Chantilly15th1st+4
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat23rd0th+3
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud21st-2th+3
2026-03-03Chantilly26th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/103/0331/0523/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
15/11/20252nd5/287%83%-0.04
12/12/20253rd18/15%75%+0.70
03/03/20266th9/276%67%-0.10
29/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
27/04/20263rd7/163%75%+0.12
31/05/20265th20/10%75%+0.75
05/07/20265th7/163%20%-0.43
23/08/20266th9/153%64%+0.12