1
Dennis The Menace
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Angers · Prix Claude Rouget Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength57%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Le Croise-Laroche | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 82% | -0.13 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 88% | -0.08 |
| 16/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |