8

Martinelli

3yo Filly · 8-12

Angers · Prix Claude Rouget Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 02/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 6f101y Std 1282/11C5C5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y Std 128C5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12821/04C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 07/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 128C0 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1308/06C?C5 @ Nantes 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 124C0 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12824/07C?C5 @ Saint-Malo 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 124C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1244/09C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers?3rd3rd0
2026-08-18Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2026-07-24Vichy?8th8th0
2026-07-01Nantes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-08Angers?3rd3rd0
2026-05-07Le Lion D'angers?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/117/0524/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20254th33/10%75%+0.75
02/12/20255th10/147%60%+0.13
21/04/202610th20/10%31%+0.31
07/05/202613th40/10%8%+0.08
08/06/20263rd80/10%80%+0.80
01/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
24/07/20268th8/158%42%-0.16
18/08/20262nd10/382%90%+0.08
04/09/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15