9
Nissakia
3yo Filly · 8-12
Angers · Prix Claude Rouget Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 11th | −4 |
| 2025-11-01 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |