5
Shirdihenge
3yo Filly · 8-12
Angers · Prix Claude Rouget Maiden Stakes · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Argentan | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-24 | Pornichet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -24.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 30% | -0.12 |