10

Black Du Morvan

4yo Filly · 10-6

Angers · Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo Maiden Stakes · 1m 6f 200y

#11

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lignieres 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1367/03C5C5 @ Vichy 24/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 14224/05C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Vichy?7th7th0
2026-03-07Lignieres?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0324/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -33.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20264th11/1094%75%-0.19
24/05/20267th11/486%33%-0.52