1
Callisto Du Nord
4yo Gelding · 10-10
Angers · Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo Maiden Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength70%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | ? | 1st | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 1 | 1st | -3th | +4 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Moulins | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -9.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |