9
Keen Lady
4yo Filly · 10-6
Angers · Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo Maiden Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 91% | -0.03 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | +0.00 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |
| 08/06/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 88% | -0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |