2
Kermanshah
4yo Gelding · 10-10
Angers · Prix Richmond Brissac - Challenge Apgo Maiden Stakes · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-23 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -9.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 28/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |