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9yo Gelding · 9-12
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 07/09/2025 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 11% | -0.77 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/09/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |