9
Guardian
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength17%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 09/06/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 20/07/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 56% | -0.33 |
| 07/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 03/12/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 08/12/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 09/08/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |