13

La Pelemoise

7yo Mare · 8-6

Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 15/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13915/10C?C5 @ Clairefontaine 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 1204 @ Nantes 29/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13129/0543 @ Nantes 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1224 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1202/0744 @ Saint-Malo 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1294 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1292/0843 @ Deauville 16/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1324 @ Craon 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 1295/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Craon41st1st0
2026-08-16Deauville312th12th0
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers42nd2nd0
2026-07-22Saint-Malo45th5th0
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance41st1st0
2026-06-16Nantes36th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1016/062/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/10/20258th13/266%36%-0.29
24/10/20257th18/15%40%+0.35
29/05/202612th40/10%27%+0.27
16/06/20266th33/10%64%+0.64
02/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
22/07/20265th9/276%67%-0.10
02/08/20262nd15/261%93%+0.32
16/08/202612th2/189%27%-0.63
05/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18