7
Lavendin
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#10
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 03/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 23/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 07/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 64% | -0.25 |