6
Livry
4yo Filly · 9-6
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Toulouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Toulouse | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 16/04/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 54% | -0.20 |