3
Misterwinner
4yo Gelding · 9-8
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Le Lion D'angers | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 02/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 93% | +0.02 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 08/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |