2

Roi De L'air

6yo Horse · 9-10

Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#4

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Angers 16/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12316/11C5C0 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 127C0 @ Deauville 23/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 13123/12C?C0 @ Chantilly 21/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Std 128C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 10/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 12310/03C?2 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1223 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12923/0533 @ Deauville 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1292 @ Deauville 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12411/082projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Deauville27th7th0
2026-07-04Deauville31st1st0
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat37th7th0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau22nd2nd0
2026-03-10Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0
2026-01-21Chantilly?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1121/0123/0511/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
02/12/20254th17/255%80%+0.25
23/12/20253rd13/266%87%+0.21
21/01/20266th13/266%55%-0.11
10/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
20/04/20262nd12/137%93%+0.56
23/05/20267th1/195%57%-0.38
04/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
11/08/20267th18/15%60%+0.55