5
Saint Aquilin
5yo Gelding · 9-7
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 87% | +0.34 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.41 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |