8

Zenita

7yo Mare · 9-1

Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y

#2

Rank

Odds

45/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Lion D'angers 18/05/2022 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 2m2f86y GS 14318/05C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 11/09/2023 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 147C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 04/12/2023 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 1504/12C?C5 @ Nantes 09/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m7f90y Sft 120C0 @ Saint-Cloud 23/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 13123/05C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 10/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 129C0 @ Saint-Cloud 29/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13129/06C?C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 09/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1229/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-09Senonnes-Pouance?1st1st0
2025-06-29Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2025-06-10Saint-Cloud?2nd2nd0
2025-05-23Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2025-04-09Nantes?1st1st0
2023-12-04Cagnes-sur-Mer?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/059/0429/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20222nd6/594%80%-0.14
11/09/20234th9/153%63%+0.10
04/12/20239th18/15%47%+0.41
09/04/20251st33/10%100%+1.00
23/05/20251st16/116%100%+0.84
10/06/20252nd11/271%93%+0.22
29/06/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
09/07/20251st11/486%100%+0.14