10
Zvalikova
5yo Filly · 8-12
Angers · Prix Mondial Du Lion (Prix Du Chateau Du Roi De Pologne) Handicap · 1m 2f 96y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |
| 24/04/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/08/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 21% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |