10
Misty City
3yo Filly · 9-1
Angers · Prix Luna Wells Handicap · 6f 156y
#6
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 20/04/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |