IvyArcIvyArc
2

Modelling

3yo Filly · 9-12

Angers · Prix Luna Wells Handicap · 6f 156y

#2

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1245/05C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1282/06C5C5 @ Compiegne 20/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12820/06C5C0 @ Le Touquet 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Sft 12826/07C?C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12920/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Le Lion D'angers?4th4th0
2026-07-26Le Touquet?1st1st0
2026-06-20Compiegne?11th11th0
2026-06-02Saint-Cloud?14th14th0
2026-05-05Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/052/0620/0626/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
02/06/202614th7/491%13%-0.77
20/06/202611th25/10%0%0.00
26/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
20/08/20264th15/890%57%-0.33