7

My Girl Molly

3yo Filly · 9-5

Angers · Prix Luna Wells Handicap · 6f 156y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

93%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12020/03C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 1252/06C?C0 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12416/07C?C0 @ Deauville 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12520/08C?4 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 12830/084C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12511/09C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2026-08-30Deauville42nd2nd0
2026-08-20Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-16Compiegne?12th12th0
2026-06-02Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2026-03-20Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/032/0616/0720/0830/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
02/06/20263rd11/271%87%+0.16
16/07/202612th3/184%15%-0.69
20/08/20265th13/266%64%-0.02
30/08/20262nd3/184%91%+0.07
11/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14