IvyArcIvyArc
4

Sugar Daddy

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Angers · Prix Luna Wells Handicap · 6f 156y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 16/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12716/03C?C0 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 120C0 @ Evreux 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13015/04C?C0 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 124C0 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 14022/05C?C0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 6f156y GS 129C0 @ Le Lion D'angers 24/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 13924/07C?C0 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1281 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 13330/081projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville15th5th0
2026-08-15Deauville?9th9th0
2026-07-24Le Lion D'angers?10th10th0
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance?8th8th0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud?12th12th0
2026-05-04Chantilly?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/034/0524/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/202611th20/10%29%+0.29
02/04/20267th25/10%57%+0.57
15/04/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/05/20265th14/126%73%+0.47
22/05/202612th9/488%15%-0.73
02/07/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
24/07/202610th18/15%25%+0.20
15/08/20269th14/126%27%+0.01
30/08/20265th18/15%64%+0.58