1

Zenadia

3yo Filly · 10-2

Angers · Prix Luna Wells Handicap · 6f 156y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Les Sables 11/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GF 12411/10C5C5 @ Deauville 12/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 7f100y Std 123C5 @ Pornichet 19/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12319/12C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 17/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 123C0 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 1242/04C?C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 128C0 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1304/05C?C5 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1211 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Hvy 14230/081projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville12nd2nd0
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp?7th7th0
2026-05-04Chantilly?12th12th0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?9th9th0
2026-04-02Chantilly?1st1st0
2026-03-17Fontainebleau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1017/034/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20253rd7/163%82%+0.19
12/12/20257th18/15%57%+0.52
19/12/20258th4/179%13%-0.66
17/03/20264th11/142%50%+0.08
02/04/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
20/04/20269th11/142%27%-0.15
04/05/202612th25/10%27%+0.27
09/07/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
30/08/20262nd22/10%91%+0.91