4
Cloughleagh Bridge
2yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 72
Fairyhouse · Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Galway | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |