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6

Cudawudashuda

2yo Colt · 9-0

Fairyhouse · Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Thrice-raced maiden. Fourth of 10 in maiden claimer at Naas (1m, good to soft, 17/2) 4 days ago, never nearer. Blinkers on first time. Respected under Keane.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f195y Gd 1273/07C8C0 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f94y Yie 12631/08C?C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m Yie 12517/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?4th4th0
2026-08-31Roscommon?7th7th0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0731/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
31/08/20267th66/10%25%+0.25
17/09/20264th17/255%67%+0.11