5
Honey Deuce
2yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 58
Fairyhouse · Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/08/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |