Shesthedevil
2yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 73
Fairyhouse · Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA77 | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA80 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | 1 | 6th | -2th | +7 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |