7

Somethingaboutlove

2yo Filly · 9-0

Fairyhouse · Winter Festival Early Bird Ticket Claiming Race · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 2 maidens at Navan this month. Outsider.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 1202/09C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Gd 1225/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?8th9th1
2026-09-02Navan?6th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/095/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength55%

Delivery trend +13.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20266th66/10%29%+0.29
05/09/20268th100/10%42%+0.42