3
Almeiyda
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 78
Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2084% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |