5

Ebony Reign

3yo Filly · 9-3

Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f

#20

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

Timeform

Commentary

Went backwards from her debut when trailing the field at the Curragh in late-June.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f35y Sft 12911/06C8C8 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m Gd 12926/06C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Curragh?13th13th0
2026-06-11Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0626/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 200% of fieldRange 20-20 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -36.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 20th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20268th33/10%36%+0.36
26/06/202613th150/10%0%0.00