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8

Mooncoin

3yo Filly · 9-3

Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to justify support on debut at Dundalk in March. Was clearly thought capable of better by the Mark Fahey yard, however, she's pitched into a deeper maiden on first start for new connections. Wears first-time tongue strap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1296/03C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-06Dundalk?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2058% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20269th7/491%38%-0.52