10

Near Perfection

3yo Filly · 9-3

Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Half-sister to Derby winner Anthony Van Dyck. Well held both starts to date, latterly when backing out things quickly in first-time tongue strap on return at Navan (1¼m). Marked drop in trip suggests she could be a handicap project now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m3f190y Yie 12925/04C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?17th17th0
2026-04-25Limerick?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/042/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2037% of fieldRange 20-20 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +15.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
02/09/202617th11/142%20%-0.22