19

Red Dahlia

3yo Filly · 9-3

Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f

#18

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Offered something to work on when beaten 5½ lengths (not given hard time) at Cork (6f) on debut. That form has some substance and worth monitoring for each-way support at big prices. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 6f Yie 12930/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Cork?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2032% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20267th33/10%60%+0.60