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13

River Trieux

3yo Filly · 9-3

Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising first effort at Roscommon. Aided by run of the race/first-time tongue strap when improved 1½-length second at Cork (1m, soft) since. In excellent hands and further progress could see her firmly in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f111y Gd 12918/08C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1299/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?2nd2nd0
2026-08-18Roscommon?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2074% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -26.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20268th40/10%50%+0.50
09/09/20262nd11/271%94%+0.23