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16

Stooked

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 73

Fairyhouse · Kilminfoyle House Stud Fillies Maiden · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to be useful. Narrowly failed to justify support behind a next-time-out winner on debut at the Curragh (7f). Beaten a length down in trip at Cork 6 days on (third and fourth winners since) and surely wasn't 100% at Roscommon last time. Has earned another chance but draw hasn't been kind.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12918/07C8C8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 12924/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 78 · 7f111y Gd 129 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 78 par18/08C8OR 78projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?11th11th0
2026-07-24Cork?2nd2nd0
2026-07-18Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0724/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 16-20 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -31.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20262nd11/486%90%+0.04
24/07/20262nd11/893%92%-0.01
18/08/202611th5/287%29%-0.58