12

Banshof

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 62

Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f

#21

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#21

Timeform

Commentary

Showed some promise on first 2 starts in maidens but well held both outings since. Hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f Std 14226/05C8C8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR - · 6f GF 14127/06C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1428/07C8BHA64 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 64 · 7f Sft 134 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 64 par8/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 21st of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA6410th10th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?14th14th0
2026-06-27Curragh?8th8th0
2026-05-26Dundalk?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0527/068/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 210% of fieldRange 15-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 21st of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20266th33/10%38%+0.38
27/06/20268th40/10%63%+0.63
08/07/202614th66/10%7%+0.07
08/09/202610th40/10%10%+0.10