1
Blues Emperor
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 69
Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
30%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA68 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA73 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA76 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA77 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA79 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA79 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/04/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 24/05/2026 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 26/06/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |