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3

Comfort Line

9yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 66

Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Consistent veteran who overcame trouble in running to win at the Curragh last month. Creditable fifth of 18 in handicap at Cork (1m, soft) 12 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA58 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR 58 · 1m Goo 140 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 58 par12/0458OR 58BHA60 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 60 · 1m Std 142 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 60 parBHA64 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 64 · 7f Gd 134 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 64 par4/0564OR 64BHA63 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 63 · 7f195y Gd 133 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 63 · 7f50y Goo 133 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 63 par16/0763OR 63BHA62 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 22 · OR 62 · 1m1f Goo 132 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 62 · 1m Goo 132 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 62 par16/0862OR 62BHA65 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 65 · 1m20y Goo 136 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 65 parBHA66 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 66 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 66 par9/0966OR 66projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA665th5th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA653rd3rd0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA621st1st0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA624th4th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA636th6th0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA635th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/043/0716/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2190% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 21.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20263rd12/137%89%+0.53
23/04/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
04/05/20262nd7/163%93%+0.30
03/07/20265th12/137%71%+0.35
16/07/20266th11/271%62%-0.10
06/08/20264th25/10%86%+0.86
16/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
27/08/20263rd7/282%82%+0.00
09/09/20265th20/10%76%+0.76